Money Life With Chuck Jaffe Daily Podcast

John Waggoner, financial editor at AARP.org, says that the current wave of inflation -- most recently pegged on Tuesday by the government at 8.5 percent -- is not the same as what older investors remember from the late 1970s and early 1980s, but he cautions those older investors to avoid knee-jerk reactions to higher prices, noting that diversification -- buying undervalued securities, investing in securities delivering long-term income streams, and even holding cash to avoid having to sell anything into current conditions -- remains the time-tested way to avoid getting crunched by volatile markets and troubled economies. Also on the show, Ed Carson, news editor at Investor's Business Daily, discusses the latest IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index, which remained in negative territory for the eighth straight month despite a massive, 11 percent uptick in positive sentiment, and Daniel Kern, chief investment officer at TFC Financial Management, talks about mutual funds and ETFs -- and how individuals might be tink

Leading retail industry analyst Dana Telsey, chief research officer at Telsey Advisory Group, says that the retail industry is poised to overcome high inflation, rising interest rates, supply-chain issues stretched by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and more thanks to culture and structural changes, the closing of struggling stores and lagging shopping centers and a resilient, healthy consumer. Telsey acknowledges how retail struggled during the first quarter of the year, but noted that she has high hopes for the remainder of the year, especially as big events and celebrations return to help drive additional shopping. Talking technical analysis, Brent Kochuba, founder of SpotGamma.com, says that current neutral sentiment among traders is a warning sign that a market decline could be in the offing, particularly if the Standard & Poor's 500 remains below the 4,500 level, allowing volatility to build up, potentially generating downward pressure. In the Book Interview, Mary Childs 00 co-host of Planet Money on N

Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro for Fidelity Investments, says that investors are betting that the current market can be a replay of 1994 -- when the Federal Reserve was raising interest rates to offset inflation and shooting for a proverbial soft landing -- which could mean a sideways path or a holding pattern while the central bank is tightening. Timmer says that while earnings are growing, the market can avoid a more significant downturn. David Trainer of New Constructs explores companies where "street earnings are too high," which means they are in danger of an earnings miss; his list of companies in this condition includes Amazon.com and financial giants Invesco and Wells Fargo. Also on the show, author Keisha Blair discusses "Holistic Wealth" and how the approach can help individuals overcome the disruption of recent events to reach their financial goals, and Chuck answers a listener's question about changing financial advisers.

Jeff Bishop of RagingBull.com says that gold is setting up on a technical basis for a strong rally over the next year. While gold is often used as a hedge against inflation -- and it has struggled in that role as inflation across the country has reached its highest levels in 40 years -- Bishop says it is currently poised to go "well above $2,000" in the next year. Bishop, who is not typically a gold bull, says that rising inflation and interest rates and other fundamental issues are combining with strong technicals to make the precious metal as one of the better long-term trades investors can make now.  In The NAVigator segment, Steven Bavaria of "Inside the Income Factory" on SeekingAlpha.com, discusses how investors seeking cash-flow without much regard for total return have been weathering the market's storms of the first quarter, Bankrate.com analyst Sarah Foster discusses the site's "True Cost of Insurance" report, and Ivana Delevska of SPEAR Invest talks about investing in industrial companies and indus

Kathy Boyle, president of Chapin Hill Advisors, says she expects the stock market to go through a "very bad period" ahead, the result of a recession that she thinks is brewing right now, a hunch that is supported by an inverted yield curve, high inflation and other conditions. As a result, she says investors don't want to hold long-maturity bonds, and need to be careful about dividend-focused funds and broad market exposure. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com says that the JETS ETF has the potential to give investors a nice takeoff and a soft landing, Matt Schulz of LendingTree discusses what taxpayers are planning to do with any refunds they receive this year, and retirement expert Anne Lester -- the former head of retirement solutions for JPMorgan Asset Management -- talks about how long-term investors might adjust portfolios and strategies now, without letting current events completely take over and messing things up.

Bryce Doty, senior portfolio manager at Sit Fixed Income, says that a miserable first quarter and the threat of more interest-rate hikes have bond investors feeling miserable, but he believes that the worst is over for bonds, noting that the rate hikes have already made it that investors can now generate at least a small amount of income from short-term bonds, something that wasn't possible at the start of the year. Doty says that he doesn't think the Federal Reserve will be able to take rates as far as central bankers seem to want to go, due to some economic struggles; that moderation, in turn, means less damage to the bond market, giving bond investors a reason for optimism even though headlines make things seem bleak. Also on the show, Roger Young from T. Rowe Price discusses the firm's 14th annual "Parents, Kids & Money" survey,  which showed that the emergency of cryptocurrency has created excitement in families and the opportunity for more meaningful talks about money and investing, and Andy Braun o

Chris Vermeulen, chief market strategist at The Technical Traders, says that 'the red flags are in the air that the market is ready to roll over,' and while he sees the current rally continuing for another month or two, any upward moves right now are setting up for a bear market, a downward move of more than 25 percent. "Somebody putting money into almost anything right now is carrying a ton of risk," Vermeulen says. "Everything is very overpriced." Also on the show, Chuck looks back at the completion of the NCAA men's basketball tournament on Monday and uses it as a metaphor for building a portfolio, and we revisit a recent discussion with Edward Yardeni, chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research.

David Trainer, president at investment-research firm New Constructs, says that 80 percent of the Standard & Poor's 500 companies are overstating earnings, and he highlighted Illumina as topping the list, saying the company is overvalued as a result. The company is currently trading for about $350, but Trainer put it in "The Danger Zone" because it has an economic book value of "negative two dollars." Also on the show, Ron Ruffinott of Toluna discusses their recent survey showing that one-third of Americans feel markedly worse off financially now compared to a year ago, economist/author Jonathan Haskel discusses his new book -- "Restarting the Future: How to Fix the Intangible Economy," and Brad Lamensdorf of Active Alts and the Ranger Equity Bear ETF returns to talk stocks in the Market Call.

Brad Lamensdorf, editor of the Lamensdorf Market-Timing Report and chief executive officer of Active Alts, says that investors can expect a lot of 'sub-surface  volatility throughout the entire year," but all of that chop amounts to the market getting past the bigger-than-expected gains of 2020 and 2021. Lamensdorf says that most market sentiment gauges and indicators are negative but that is creating some pockets of opportunity, though they are hard to spot amid bear-market bounces. Also on the show, Edward Yardeni of Yardeni Research returns for a second day, this time to talk about his latest book, "In Praise of Profits," Michael Bell of Primark Capital discusses how private-equity investments can bring something to a portfolio that most investors are missing, and Simon Lack of SL Advisors -- the firm behind the American Energy Independence Index -- returns to talk about energy stocks in the Market Call.

Edward Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, says that the current wage-price-rent spiral is likely to spur businesses to spend money to increase the productivity of workers. If that innovation and change occurs -- and Yardeni believes there will be a 'productivity boom' -- a decade that started out pretty badly could instead turn into the Roaring 2020s. Yardeni says that solid economic underpinning will make it that inflation and interest rate hikes will not turn into a repeat of the 1970s, avoiding deep, long recessions or worse even while conditions feel bad. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com looks to emerging markets and internet/e-commerce for his ETF of the Week, and Ryan Jacob, chief investment officer of the Jacob Funds, talks technology stocks in the Market Call.

There is nothing about inflation hitting its highest levels in 40 years that makes anyone feel good, but Chuck looks beyond the big number to talk about the actual impact that higher prices are having on people, and concludes by noting that the costs and the choices inflation is creating are uncomfortable but manageable. As a result, while he understands the grumbles -- saying he complains himself every time he fills up his gas tank -- his bigger message remains that 'Higher inflation is not going to break you.' Also on the show, Marketwatch columnist Brett Arends discusses the fallout from Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy calling Warren Buffett 'washed up,' a call that looks particularly foolish given the time since when Warren Buffett's personal fortune roughly doubled to over $100 billion in short order. Mark Hamirck of Bankrate.com discusses his site's latest survey of workers and their outlook on jobs and working conditions, and Jillian DelSignore of FLX Networks discusses the evolution of the ETF bu

Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management, says that the cryptocurrency market's fear over regulation is misplaced, and while threats of regulation send the market into a tizzy, he thinks that worry is misplaced and directed toward heavy-handed regulatory efforts. He thinks the potential for regulation will turn from a headwind to a tailwind, because decentralized finance goes mainstream through regulatory guidance that makes consumers more comfortable with digital assets. In a wide-ranging interview, Hougan also talks about how cryptocurrencies have performed against inflation, in the war in Ukraine and more, and discusses how non-fungible tokens are the latest verse in an age-old song of how societies develop arts and cultures during times of financial success. Also on the show, Shelly-Ann Eweka, senior director for advice strategy for TIAA, talks about how gig workers and others with non-traditional jobs can still participate in traditional retirement-savings programs, and David Mil

David Trainer, founder and president of New Constructs, says that HubSpot is worth only about 15 percent of what its stock currently is trading for, and he's putting it in 'The Danger Zone' because it faces stiff competition in an industry that is being commoditized, leaving it littel room to grow profitably, let alone at the incredibly high valuation the market has given the stock for now. We've also got Mike Bailey of FBB Capital partners, back to discuss his new book 'Stop. Think. Invest: A Behavioral Finance Framework for Optimizing Investment Portfolios, plus Ken Mahonet of Mahoney Asset Management talks stocks and ETFs in the Market Call, and Chuck shares his thoughts and appreciation for Ned Johnson, the man who built Fidelity Investments from a family business to the world's largest and most influential financial-services firms.

Joe Kalish, chief global macro strategist at Ned Davis Research, says that longer-term inflation will be what determines whether the economy can continue to avoid a recession and the market can sidestep a protracted downturn. With that in mind, Kalish expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates repeatedly until it can be confident that inflation has peaked, is passing through temporary troubles and gets to long-term target levels at 2.1 percent. Kalish, says, though, that he believes that goal will take longer than the Fed expects to be accomplished, meaning that economic doldrums will also go on for longer than forecast. In The NAVigator segment, Mitchel Penn of Oppenheimer and Co., talks about the challenges of analyzing and evaluating business-development companies, highlighting why one particular BDC -- Runway Growth Finance Corp. -- appears ready to outperform the market and the competition. And in the Market Call, Mike Bailey, director of research for FBB Capital Partners, talks about taking a "beat and

Hank Smith, head of investment strategy for The Haverford Trust Co., says that rising volatility and heightened uncertainty shouldn't push investors out of the market, because times like these prove the value of being fully invested in all conditions, and having money in the market whenever a bottom is reached. In the Market Call, Smith talks about how owning great companies with long histories of dividend payments creates the confidence to ride out tough times en route to long-term success. In the 'ETF of the Week' segment, Tom Lydon, chief executive at ETFTrends.com, discusses one of the biggest, most-popular ETFs -- a Standard and Poor's 500 Index fund from Vanguard -- noting that the pick isn't just trending but it's an appropriate allocation for investors with too much cash on the sidelines. Also on the show, Kirsten Grind, co-author of 'Happy At Any Cost: The Revolutionary Vision and Fatal Quest of Zappos CEO Tony Hsieh,' and Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate.com discussing the site's 202

Jeffrey Cleveland, chief economist at Payden and Rygel, says that he expects inflation to settle down and for the economy to reach full-employment levels by the end of the year, creating earnings and economic growth that sidesteps any potential recession. Cleveland expects the market to recover its early-year losses and show modest profits by the end of the year. Also on  the show, Shelly-Ann Eweka of TIAA discusses survey results showing that women's finances in retirement make them much more financially vulnerable than men are, and Samuel Adams, chief executive officer of Vert Asset Management -- which runs the Vert Global Sustainable Real Estate Fund -- talks environmental, social and governance (ESG) in the Market Call.

Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global market strategist at Charles Schwab & Co., says that earnings will continue to power the stock market which he expects to overcome current concerns about high inflation and rising interest rates to finish the year with the kind of high single-digit gains he was expecting several months ago when he posted his annual outlook. Kleintop says he expects inflation to calm quickly enough that investors might forego the traditional hedges in favor of international investments, which he says tend to do well in inflationary times and which will outperform the standard inflation-driven portfolio moves. Also on the show, Sham Ganglani discusses Fidelity Investments' latest  State of Retirement Planning study, noting the conditions of the typical retirement saver coming out of the pandemic, and Eric Boughton of Matisse Capital talks about closed-end fund investing in the Market Call.

Terri Spath, founder and chief investment officer at Zuma Wealth, says that stock market and economic conditions have her lightening up on technology stocks but adding to commodities, going up to her traditional limits on commodities because that's where managers can deliver a better return in markets currently affected by the war in Ukraine and more. Spath notes that she is moving away from bonds, most notably floating-rate bonds -- despite a rising-rate environment that has many experts expecting them to thrive -- high-yield corporates and even Treasury bonds. Spath says she still believes the stock market will book gains for 2022, with most of the positive action coming in the second half of the year. Also on the show, Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, discusses the latest Economic Policy Survey out today from the National Association for Business Economics, Kyle Guske of New Constructs says a classic mutual fund with one of the most veteran managers ever -- more than 50 years at the helm -- i

Matt Harris, chief investment officer at The Hausberg Group, says that it has been a market year of extremes, a polarizing year where the stock and bond markets have been oversold, gold has been overbought and investors and their emotions have been whipsawed by the moves. Yet he sees many of the factors creating those conditions as mitigating and calming down now, and as those factors stabilize he notes that things will get 'less bad,' which should be enough to keep the market on solid footing and with slow gains moving forward. Craig Callahan, founder / CEO, ICON Advisers; author, “Unloved Bull Markets” (3/17 & 3/18); iconadvisers.com Craig Callahan, chief executive at ICON Advisers returns to the show, following on Thursday's discussion about his book on bull markets, noting that he sees stocks on average right now to be about 9 percent below the firm's fair value estimate right now. Further, Callahan says that 2022 may be a year where there are positive outcomes despite no catalyst for a market rally,

Craig Callahan, founder of ICON Advisers and author of a new book, 'Unloved Bull Markets,' says that investors who have relied heavily on price-earnings ratios to evaluate stocks have been fooled. He says that p/e ratios are 'totally worthless in predicting future returns, and notes that stocks were never overvalued in the long bull market run after the 2008 financial crisis, nor are they overvalued now, in a bull market that has only been stalled by current events. He adds that investors who focus on macro concerns like war, inflation and interest rates are missing the ground level action where individual companies look good. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com heads to the oil patch with an energy pick impacted by global events for his 'ETF of the Week,' Chuck gives his quick take on how to read the Federal Reserve's moves and statements from Wednesday, and Tom Plumb of the Plumb Funds talks stocks in the Market Call.