Money Life With Chuck Jaffe Daily Podcast

Crit Thomas, global market strategist at Touchstone Investments, says that while returns may slow down from the high and unexpected levels achieved in 2019, he expects the domestic stock market to have another positive run in the New Year, even if it is muted by recent standards. Thomas said investors need to be picky and selective in investing in developed Europe and emerging markets, where some great bargains could be hidden among bigger trends that have the potential to drag down the markets as a whole. Also on the show, Jeff Lipton of Oppenheimer and Co. talks the municipal-bond market and its spectacular results in 2019, Russell Robinson of Capital Institutional Services talks about trading illiquid and lesser-known closed-end funds and how the market remains stable and solvent, and Leo Leydon of Financial Focyus Advisory Services gives his technical outlook for 2020, and it's a good one. 

Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American Corp., says that the fact that interest rates are likely stuck at current low levels is likely to reduce any impetus for homeowners to consider moving, which will slow down the economy, even with housing affordability at historically low levels despite an inventory shortage created in part by established homeowners opting to stay put. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a retailing fund his 'ETF of the Week,' Ted Rossman of CreditCards.com discusses holiday tipping practices, and Chris Retzler, portfolio manager of the red-hot Needham Small Cap Growth Fund -- currently up more than 50 percent this year -- discusses his portfolio and the broader market in the Market Call.

Wayne Wicker, chief investment officer for VantagePoint Investment Advisors, says that despite the headline risks and concerns, he believes the stock market is poised to deliver another double-digit gain in the new year, noting that the economic underpinnings are solid and momentum remains strong. Also on the show, Nick DiUlio of insuranceQuotes.com discusses holiday hazards from porch pirates to winter driving, we revisit a chat with Steve Tresnan and Jeremiah Reithmiller of HighTower Advisors discussing how fixed income can properly hedge stocks these days, and Matt Hanna of Summit Global Investments talks low-volatility investing in the Market Call. 

Rob Arnott, founding chairman at Research Affiliates, says in a wide-ranging interview that value investing not only isn't dead, but he notes that value stocks currently trade at one-eighth the price of growth stocks, the second-lowest level ever and a strong indicator that bargain stocks are due for a resurgence if investors can remain patient with them. O'Shaughnessy -- the author of 'What Works on Wall Street' and the head of O'Shaughnessy Asset Management -- talks about factor investing, and how investors can set limits on their portfolios without letting emotions ruin their portfolios and returns. Also on the show, Matt Schulz of CompareCards.com discusses the surprisingly large percentage of Americans who cried over their finances and money in 2019. 

Doug Ramsey, chief investment officer at The Leuthold Group, discusses current market valuation risks and how his firm is responding to the market's mixed signals, including the inverted yield curve signal the market flashed months ago, increases in volatility and uncertainty and more. He also discusses research based on fishing charts and solar-lunar calendars showing that investors do better -- and should trade more -- at times with a full moon. Also on the show, John Boroff of Fidelity Investments discusses the firm's annual study on New Year's resolutions, Chuck answers an audience question about portfolio rebalancing, and David Trainer puts an equity fund with a history of topping the performance charts every few years into the Danger Zone.

Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, expects the market to stay strong in 2020 noting that be believes politicians can go beyond settling the trade dispute with China to give stocks a boost. Stovall says he would not be surprised to see tax cut measures -- proposed if not enacted -- that get investors excited that the bull market can keep running into 2021 or 2022. Also on the show, Buck Klintworth of Chase Investment Counsel talks optimistically about the market's technicals, Jeremy Goff of Tortoise Advisors discusses interval funds and the benefits of using them as opposed to traditional closed-end fund investments, and Stephen Dodson of the Bretton Fund talks value investing in the Market Call. 

Charles Rotblut, editor of AAII Journal, says that the biggest winners for the next decade on the Standard and Poor's 500 Index may not even be big enough to be on the banchmark now. In a recent study of the last decade, Rotblut found that the big winners were not necessarily the names anyone might have expected to be big gainers 10 years ago. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a biotech and pharmaceutical fund his ETF of the Week, Alia Dudum of Lending Club talks about how many people engage in 'YOLO spending' because 'you only live once' but wind up paying off those purchases for years. Also, we rebroadcast a recent chat with Alan Gayle of Via Nova Investment Management.

Mary Ellen Stanek of Baird Funds notes that in the 11th year of an economic expansion, investors should be cautious, but she says the excesses that typically come late in an economic cycle are not there, so investors should keep their seatbelts on, should make sure they are being paid to take on risk and are otherwise moving forward cautiously into 2020 and beyond. Also on the show, Chuck chats with David Molnar from HighTower San Diego about how investors should properly evaluate an adviser's performance, discusses the ways in which President Trump's tweets have been moving the market with Francesca Ortegren of Clever Real Estate, and we revisit a recent Market Call chat with Charlie Bobrinskoy of Ariel Investments.

Brian Nick, chief investment officer at Nuveen, says that the stock market enters the next decade with high valuations and other conditions that do not seup up well for great investment returns, and he warns investors that they may need to move away from the tradition 60-40 stocks-to-bonds allocation in favor of something that carries more alternatives in order to continue to deliver anything close to recent results. But Nick's cautious notes are a contrast to comments from Gene Peroni of Peroni Portfolio Advisors, a renowned technical analyst who said there are "no telltale signs of a serious market top" currently on the horizon, and who suggested that dips will remain buying opportunities for the foreseeable future. Also on the show, Lior Rachmany of Dumbo Moving and Storage discusses the financial benefits of moving during the winter, and Odysseas Papadimitrou of WalletHub chats about deferred interest on retail cards and how he believes the practice should be outlawed.

Michael Dowdall, investment strategist for BMO Global Asset Management, says the trade war between the United Stateas and China will be the over-arching headline for the foreseeable future, and while he expects minor deals to be announced he believes a full resolution of tensions will be elusive in 2020. Despite that, he believes the American consumer will continue to drive the market higher, and that the U.S. economy will continue to lead the world, though he expects a bounce-back from a number of countries that mostly suffered through 2019. Also on the show, Catherine Collinson of the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies discusses women and their retirement preparedness, Davd Trainer talks about technology companies and puts a troubled tech stock in the Danger Zone, and Chuck discusses how being a bit of a humbug for the holidays and talking moderation with family memebrs could be a true gift of the season.

Michael Mullaney, director of global markets research at Boston Partners says that while there are some warning signs clearly visible -- and wildcards like trade wars and Brexit that could cause further deterioration -- investors should stay fully invested for as long as the economy continues showing growth and companies keep on reporting profits. He suggests that investors side with stocks that have 'high-quality characteristics' as a way to hedge against a weakening market. Also on the show, John Kosar of Asbury Research gave a technical outlook that wasn't nearly as positive, noting that the market is overextended and that if the major indexes break through support levels, investors might want to take better control of their risks. Axel Merk of the Merk Funds and the ASA Gold and Precious Metals closed-end fund discusses the difference for investors between using traditional funds and the closed-end structure for exposure to precious metals, and George Young of the Villere Funds talks stocks in the Market

Tom Lydon, editor at ETFTrends.com, made the PIMCO Low Duration Active ETF -- ticker symbol LDUR -- his 'ETF of the Week,' noting that the low-duration exchange-traded fund not only mitigates risk but can increase returns from money-market funds by as much as one full point, a significant difference in a time when money mostly parked on the sidelines isn't delivering much return. Also on the show, Jason Reposa of MyBankTracker.com talks about the financial mistakes savers and investors admit to making around the holidays, Rob Lutts of Cabot Wealth Management talks stocks in the Market Call, and we revisit a recent interview with Frank Holmes of US Global Investors.

Erik Weisman, chief economist and portfolio manager at MFS Investments, says that while the market and economy are giving off generally positive signs of strength, the numbers this time may be hiding some issues that could shorten the current business cycle and dampen returns. Also on the show, Washington Post columnist Allan Sloan talks about the one tax move he thinks anyone in their 70s should do to minimize what they owe Uncle Sam, Adam Thurgood of HighTower Advisors discusses how to match risk tolerance and today's positive investment sentiment with the market's realities for the future, and Ted Rossman of Bankrate.com talks about his site's latest survey of how consumers misbehave with credit cards.

Jason Thomas, chief economist at AssetMark, said that investors are too concerned with current events and the upcoming election when they should be focus instead on the earnings power of big companies, which he said will continue to drive the market for the foreseeable future. Thomas said that while investors have reasons for their personal concerns around news, they should tune out the noise to focus on the strong earnings picture. Similarly, two very different technical analysts -- Adam Grimes of Talon Advisors and Lawrence McMillan of McMillan Analysis -- came to similar conclusions, namely that the market could be headed for a technical blow-out but both suggested that the warning signs are still hard to see and said they would wait until they see a downturn as imminent before changing their investment strategy to something more defensive. Finally, Chuck Carlson of Horizon Investment Services and the DRIP Investor talked stocks in the Market Call.

Today's show covers a lot of ground, from Matt Zajechowski of Digital Third Coast talking about a survey on package thefts and giving out tips for foiling box bandits this holiday season, to Ben Hunt of EpsilonTheory.com talking about his big concerns for the markets that have been mostly overlooked by observers and experts, on to international value investing in the Market Call with guest David Marcus from the Evermore Global Value Fund talking about how the market's run to record highs hasn't curtailed his supply of companies that have been bloodied and bruised by business and that look like solid discount plays to him as a result of their troubles.

Chuck celebrates Black Friday with tips on the best and worst card deals and items to shop for from Jill Gonzalez of WalletHub.com, and talk about how to avoid the worst retail store credit card offers. There's also The NAVigator, where Jerry Raio of Arbor Lane Advisors gives his take on 2019 IPOs and the outlook for 2020, and the ETF of the Week from Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com. Also on the show, Charles Biderman of Trim Tabs Investment Management discusses the market and his expectations for how long the current rally can last.

Jim Sarni, managing principal at Payden and Rygel, says that 2020 looks to be a year of heightened volatility, centered around market flashpoints like tariff and trade wars, interest-rate concerns, the Presidential election and more, but he notes that the environment will be one where cooler heads prevail. He urges investors to stay calm, to look for investments in quality companies with dividend-oriented stocks the focus for equities and shorter-duration high-grade bonds the focus in fixed income. Also on the show, Jimmy Hausberg of HighTower Advisors discusses the lessons investors should remember from the market meltdown that started right after Thanksgiving a year ago, Dr. Steve Giannoutsos talks about the value of do-it-yourself braces and teeth aligners, and Adrian Garcia of Bankrate.com discusses holiday pressure to overspend.

Frank Holmes, chief investment officer at U.S. Global Investors, says investors have plenty of reason to be optimistic right now, noting that the domestic and international economies are showing signs of strong demand, which should keep global markets rolling for the foreseeable future. There's more bullish praise for the market and its technical signals from Dan Zanger of ChartPattern.com, who  is as fully invested as he has been in many months, despite his daily worries over how Tweets and news blurbs can ruin his short-term trades. Greg McBride of Bankrate.com chats about how ill-prepared many Americans are for retirement, but how it appears that they are falling further behind rather than playing long-term, slow-speed catch-up, and Charlie Bobrinskoy, vice chairman of Ariel Investments, talks stocks and value investing in the Market Call.

Alan Gayle, president of Via nova Investment Management, said he expects the storm clouds of trade wars and interest rate pictures to clear as the calendar hits 2020. Coupled with improvement seen in the markets of Europe, China and emerging markets, he is optimistic about results for 2020, especially for international investments. Gayle's comments were a bit more hopeful -- especially about returns and global investing -- than those of David Jilek, chief investment strategist of Gateway Investment Advisors, who expects muted returns and heightened volatility from stocks and bonds through 2020. Also on the show, Francesca Ortegren of Clever Real Estate discusses the high costs of commuting, especially in certain cities, and David trainer of New Constructs puts Zynga in the Danger Zone.   

Karl Mills, president of Jurika, Mills and Kiefer, said that investors have to look beyond headlines, current events and present-day nervousness to stay focused on long-term goals, and should be considering long-term trends, needs and risk tolerance rather than today's news and the weekly market action when putting together an asset allocation. Also on the show, Nicholas Marshi, editor of the BDC Reporter, discusses the state of business-development companies through the third-quarter earnings period, Chuck answers a question about store and retail credit cards, and John Buckingham of the Prudent Speculator newsletter brings his dedicated value investing style back to the Market Call after a long absence.