Money Life With Chuck Jaffe Daily Podcast

John Blank, chief equity strategist and chief economist at Zacks Investment Research said investors should expect surprise rallies and retracements, but the market isn't going to make a strong bull move until August or later. Also on the show, Jill Gonzalez of WalletHub.com discussed their recent survey on how many Americans expect to miss a credit-card payment this year, David Trainer of New Constructs talked about the Lyft initial public offering and why the company -- with virtually no prospect for earnings -- is a trap. Also, Greg Woodard, portfolio strategist for Manning and Napier talks stocks in the Market Call.

In a day filled with talk about the market, Axel Merk of the Merk Funds said the market is getting late in its current cycle and that it is likely to have a tougher tmie making gains going forward. He suggested that investors rebalance their portfolios to lock in gains and reposition themselves for the tougher sledding to come. Before that, however, Matt Harris of HighTower Wealth Management noted that the market's technical signals are suggesting that a slowdown is coming, but he said the catalyst for real trouble is not yet visible. And Avi Gilburt of Elliot Wave Trader said he expects the Standard & Poor's 500 to test recent resistance levels of 2,600 and to go as low as 2,200 if it breaks through, yet he is also forecasting a snap-back rally that will take the index to 3,200 -- and as high as 4,100 -- by 2022-23. Also, Chuck discusses the 10-year anniversary of the start of the bull market and what it means for investors.

Fritz Folts, chief investment strategist at 3EDGE Asset Management said that while domestic markets look like they can continue to run, valuations are stretched, making emerging markets and gold much more appealing right now. Folts noted that he is completely avoiding Europe and Japan right now and noted that economic and market conditions going forward will depend on the skill of the Federal Reserve in avoiding trouble. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com talks financial technology with his ETF of the Week, Mark Hamrick of Bankrate.com talked about the regrets many people have over how student-loan debt affects their lives, and Mike Liss of the American Century Value fund has the Market Call.

Krishna Memani, chief investment officer at OppenheimerFunds, said that the global economy and global growth are softening, but the policy framework is holding strong, allowing the markets to move forward and stay positive for the long-term. Memani said he believes the Fed is done with rate hikes for the year, and noted that the recent rally may have been overdone, meaning that stocks could tread water for awhile before continuing to climb. Also on the show, Michael Sheldon and Peter Lang of HighTower Advisors discuss their concerns for the rest of the year, Terry Jones of Investors' Business Daily discusses the bounce-back in optimism among investors, and value manager Jeff Auxier of the Auxier Focus Fund has the Market Call.

 Dan Zanger, chief technical analyst at ChartPattern.com said that the market is likely to chop sideways -- stuck between the 2,650 support and 2,810 resistance levels on the Standard and Poor's 500 -- until we see the direction of the next quarter's earnings releases, which start coming out in mid- to late April. Also on the show, Jill Gonzalez of WalletHub.com discussed the top hedge-fund stocks from 2018, author Nathan Latka talked about his ideas for getting rich  even if you lack capital, and we re-broadcast a recent Market Call interview with George Putnam III of The Turnaround Letter.

After watching Warren Buffett apologize for taking a $20 billion write-down for Berkshire Hathaway's investment ni Kraft Heinz, David Trainer of New Constructs said the problem highlights trouble ahead for value investors, who he says have been looking at the wrong metrics and following the pack, which has them headed for trouble. Also on the show, Brandon Thurber of Regions Asset Management said that the market is going through a 'pro-risk on environment for equities, at least for now.' while Rosanna Landis Weaver of As You Sow discussed her group's list of the 100 Most Overpaid CEOs for 2019, with Rob Lutts of Cabot Wealth Management in for the Market Call.

Neal Dwane, global strategist at Allianze Global Investments, said he believes current market optimism over trade issues with China may be misplaced, noting that the excessive optimism could bring an end to recent relief rallies, and he noted that the bigger potential for trouble lies in a potential global debt crisis where central banks have taken on so much debt that they can't buy more, making it hard for the Federal Reserve to raise rates without tanking the market and the economy. Also on the show, tax litigator Dan Pilla discusses why IRS refunds are down so far this year and if that's a bad sign, we rebroadcast a recent chat with Adam Grimes of Talon Advisors, and Eric Ervin of Blockforce Capital talks dividend stocks in the Market Call.

Bill Nygren, legendary manager of the Oakmark Fund, discussed how the disappointment of the market late in 2018 actually was a great time for investors like him who want to buy businesses with solid long-term prospects at reasonable prices. With prices falling but earnings staying high, Nygren said investors could take advantage of the market becoming disconnected from its fundamentals. Currently, he likes financial stocks, consumer durables like automotive and industrial companies, and he's sour on supposedly safer investments like utilities, which he says are fully valued. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com had volatility on his mind with the ETF of the Week Economy, and David Brown of Sabrient Systems talked about his firm's latest Baker's Dozen of stocks in the Market Call

Jeff Weniger, director of asset allocation at WisdomTree Asset Management, said that investors should be looking beyond trade wars and Brexit to what's really going to move markets, and noted that he expects emerging markets to outperform and Europe to underperform once the headlines get past current concerns. Also on the show, Michael Sheldon and Peter Lang of HighTower Advisors discuss -- and disagree on -- the parts of the market they like and worry about now. Ted Rossman of CreditCards.com looks at a survey which shows more debt problems for average Americans, and Mark Salzinger of The No-Load Fund Investor talks mutual funds and ETFs in the Market Call.

Scott Colyer, chief investment officer at Advisors Asset Management, has long advocated that investors avoid fighting the Fed, but right now he suggested that they continue riding earnings trends higher, even as they become wary of a building recession. Colyer noted that investors should be looking to miss a recession, which he sees coming but potentially not for a year or more. Also on the show, aauthor Bart McDonough discusses cyber security and how consumers can better protect themselves, and Martin Leclerc of Barrack Yard Advisors talks stocks in the Market Call.

Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American Financial, said the housing market is under-built and the lack of inventory has made the market overly sensitive to changes in mortgage rates, a trend he expects to continue at least through the end of the current rate-hike cycle. Also on the show, Matt Schultz discusses the latest survey from CompareCards.com, David Trainer puts two big-name stocks in the Danger Zone, and Noland Langford of Left Brain Capital Management has the Market Call.

Ron Sanchez of Fiduciary Trust Co. International said that investors have gotten past the confidence-shaking drop of December, but they should be cautious now because stories about global growth, interest rates and international trade events will go a long way to determining whether the market can continue climbing this year. Also on the show, Michael Gayed of Pension Partners said that the market's technicals also should put investors into wait-and-see mode, as they suggest that stocks are overbought and awaiting a catalyst before a downturn. Thomas Winmill of the Midas Fund talked about gold and precious metals investing -- also fitting into the theme of uncertain times -- and Greg McBride of Bankrate.com discussed a recent survey which showed that 74 million Americans have more in credit-card debt than in emergency savings.

Brian Singer, head of the dynamic allocation strategies team at  William Blair  Co., said that fundamentals are going to re-assert themselves on asset prices, noting that when central banks around the world are tightening, value tends to be in favor. Singer also said that emerging markets are perhaps the best value and have the most potential return right now, and urged investors to consider emerging-markets equity. That was directly on point with the ETF of the Week, where Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com picked a specialized emerging-markets fund  -- the XSOE -- because it is trending now. Also on the show, Matt Hougan of Bitwise Investments discussed JP Morgan's plan to introduce its own cryptocurrency, and George Putnam III of The Turnaround Letter talked stocks in the Market Call. 

David Goerz, chief investment officer at Strategic Frontier Management, said he does not like the looks of China and emerging markets, prefers small-cap domestic stocks and cyclical sectors like industrials and financials as he sees a market with the potential to add a few more percentage points to the upside over the rest of the year. Unlike most recent Big Interview guests, Goerz still sees the Fed raising rates three times this year. Also on the show, Richard Lewis and Jeremiah Riethmiller of HighTower Advisors discuss connecting with clients through social media, Chuck talks about President Trump's contention that the market would have lost nearly half its value if the opposition had been elected in 2016, and Dan Brady of Trendrating.com talks stocks in the Market Call.

James Hickey, chief investment strategist at H.D. Vest Financial Services said that the strong gains realized by the market in January are likely to be what investors experience for the year. While anticipating a flat market for the rest of 2019, Hickey said he does expect some volatility to make things look better or worse throughout, and he ntoed that he is tilting his portfolios toward small-cap stocks, and avoiding Europe and cutting back on emerging markets investments. Also on the show, a rebroadcast of a recent interview with Brent Schutte from Northwestern Mutual, and the Market Call with Jim Lowell, editor of The Fidelity Investor and Fidelity Sector Investor newsletters.

Mark Yusko, chief investment officer at Morgan Creek Asset Management, said in the Market Call that while he is nto expecting a bear market in short order, he does see trouble ahead for the domestic markets, noting that his metrics show large-cap stocks as being 84 percent overvalued. With that in mind, he expects 'bad things to happen' domestically, even as he finds some global valuations appealing. Also ont eh show, Jason Reposa of MyBankTracker.com discusses America's problem with car-loan delinquiencies, Trevor Neilson of i(x) Investments talks about a new type of social and impact investing, and David Trainer covers companies with misleading returns on invested capital in the Danger Zone.

Vincent Reinhart, chief economist and macro strategist at Mellon said in the Big Interview that between tariff problems and economic issues in Europe, investors must wait for the second half of the year for solid growth. That said, economic growth will be sufficient to avoid recession but not enough to satisfy investors who want to see more global expansion. Also, Adam Grimes of Talon Advisors suggested that investors should be long in stocks, while expecting a bear market to arrive in six to nine months, and David Brady of Brady Investment Counsel discussed large-cap growth investments in the Market Call.

Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, said that his rcession-probability model is showing a 20 percent chance of an economic downturn this year, but that investors should expect a recession in 2020 or '21, noting that while it should be a 'garden-variety recession,' the situation with the Fed could make any meltdown much worse. Also, economist Edward Goldberg of NYU said that American and China are coming to a truce -- and not a win or a loss -- in the trade wars, Tom Lydon looked at an emerging-markets ETF as his 'ETF of the Week,' and Chuck answered an question from an audience member.

After a superior 2017 and a dismal 2018, the outlook for emerging markets stocks and bonds is changing again and Richard Lewis from the Nulman Group did not like the looks of those markets while his HighTower Advisors colleague Jeremiah Reithmiller of Sarian Strategic Partners was much more optimistic about the prospects for companies based in developing nations. Also on the show, author Larry Swedroe discusses his new book on a successful retirement, Coryanne Hicks of U.S. News and World Report discusses the latest battle in the ETF pricking wars, and Stephen Dodson of the Bretton Fund talks stocks in the Market Call.

Michael Kagan, portfolio manager at ClearBridge Investments, said that the United States economy -- unlike some around the world -- is looking strong right now; compared to relevant periods in history, he said Americans are likely to avoid a recession for several years. That said, he noted in the Market Call interview that he would be selling any stock that is not producing profits in these market conditions. Also on the show, Charles Rotblut of AAII Journal made a banking company his 'Stock of the Week,' Ted Rossman of CreditCards.com discussed his site's latest survey and author Tanja Hester discussed her new book on retiring very early -- potentially decades ahead of retirement age -- and not running out of money.